The new bankruptcy rules are here. As I have been discussing for many months here on the Hoyes Michalos Bankruptcy Blog the new rules came into effect on Friday September 18, 2009. To beat the new rules many people filed bankruptcy in the few days leading up the rule changes. At Hoyes Michalos we had our two busiest days in history on Wednesday September 16 and Thursday September 17. In fact, September 17 was our busiest day in history, and we did over three times our normal daily volume.

Not surprisingly, the government’s electronic filing system felt the strain, and it was down from late Thursday night until 8:30 am today, September 21. In other words no-one was able to go bankrupt on Friday September 18, the day the new rules came into force. By my estimate Thursday was also the busiest bankruptcy day in Canadian history, with over 1,700 individual Canadians filing bankruptcy, which again is more than three times a normal day’s volume. The irony of course is that Friday was the slowest day in Canadian bankruptcy history: with the government’s system down, no-one filed bankruptcy.

What does the future hold? I have three predictions:

First, I believe that personal bankruptcy filings in Ontario, and consumer proposal filings, will remain at record level for many more months. For the twelve months ended July 31, 2009, the most recent period for which statistics are available, there were over 140,000 Canadians that filed a consumer proposal or bankruptcy. That’s a 32% increase over the prior twelve months, so there is no doubt that the economy is still in very bad shapes, and insolvencies will continue at a high level. If I had to make a prediction I would predict that filing will be in the range of 150,000 per year for at least 2009 and 2010. After that, they may decline slightly if the economy improves, but significant declines won’t happen until our debt levels decrease.

Second, I predict that the percentage of consumer proposals filed will increase. Under the new rules, in a first bankruptcy if you have more than $200 in surplus income, the length of a bankruptcy is increased to 21 months (from nine months). That means the cost of bankruptcy is higher, so many people will choose to file a consumer proposal as an alternative to bankruptcy. I have always supported consumer proposals as an alternative to bankruptcy, so that will be good news for many people.

My third prediction is that I will be spending more time looking at calendars and doing math. As noted above if you have $200 per month of surplus income, on average, during the first six months of your bankruptcy, the bankruptcy is automatically extended. The surplus income calculation is relatively easy if you are paid a fixed salary, or get a pension, since your income doesn’t change each month. But, if you are paid weekly or bi-weekly, your income changes when you have a five or three paycheque month. As a trustee I now must look at the calendar to see when you will have those extra paycheque months. If you have one of them during the bankruptcy period it may not increase your average surplus income, but if you have two or three of them during the first six months of your bankruptcy, your surplus income may be pushed over the $200 per month limit, causing an increase in the length of your bankruptcy. The entire Hoyes Michalos team of trustees will be working extra hard over the next few weeks to become familiar with the math necessary to help you estimate your future income, including your extra paycheque months.

We are in for challenging times ahead, but our commitment remains the same. We will review your options for dealing with debt in detail, and help you understand the implications of your decision. The math may be slightly more complicated, but our goal is to help you find the solution that works for you, so contact us today, and one of our professionals will be pleased to meet with you to help you get a fresh start.